Trend Following. A simple way to become your own investment advisor.

2nd, Know The Current Trends

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1st, Keep it SIMPLE
2nd, Know The Current Trends
3rd, What To Buy
4th, Monitor Your Progress
5th, You MUST Have a SELL Discipline.
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Current Info

Step Two: Always know the current trends of the market.

Look at the "Current Info" page for links to charts showing the current trends for the domestic and international market indices.

As trend followers, we let the market tell us when it is time to invest and when it is time to step aside, sell everything and move to the safety of money market funds or cash.
 
The market is always right, it doesn't care what we think or what we want. It is going to do what it is going to do regardless of why. If you listen, it will tell you what to do.
 
Knowing what the current trends are will generate your BUY and SELL signals.
 
I was taught by Dick Fabian that it is best to use two benchmark indicators to confirm your buy and sell signals. Dick had developed his own benchmark indicator called the Fabian Indicator Composite (FIC) that he used as a confirmation of the Wilshire 5000. Both of his benchmark indicators needed to move above or below the trend to generate a signal.
 
I use two benchmark indicators as well. I have built my own domestic composite and use it as confirmation of the Wilshire 5000. It is comprised of:
 
Wilshire 5000 (stockcharts symbol: $WLSH)
 
Dow 30 (stockcharts symbol: $INDU)
 
NASDAQ 100 (stockcharts symbol: $NDX)
 
S&P500 (stockcharts symbol: $SPX)
 
Russell 2000 (stockcharts symbol: $RUT)
 
I would suggest using the Wilshire 5000 (stockcharts symbol: $WLSH) as one of your benchmark indicators. You can use it as your only benchmark indicator if you wish.
 
If you choose to use a second, confirming benchmark indicator, you can create your own or try:
 
DJ US Broad Market (stockcharts symbol: $DJUS)
 
S&P1500 (stockcharts symbol: $SPSUPX)

Look around the symbol catalog at StockCharts to see what is available.

Hey...what is a benchmark? (Click Here)

CLICK HERE to open a Weekly chart for the Wilshire 5000 Index with 40WMA. You can then enter other symbols to see current trends for other indices.

I also follow the trend for international investing. I have several fund choices in my 401(k) that invest internationally. I use the same method as with domestic investing.
 
For the general trend of the international market, I use the
MSCI EAFE index (stockcharts symbol: $IEE). I have built my own international composite and use it as a confirmation of the MSCI EAFE.

What is MSCI EAFE? (Click Here)

Below are the StockCharts.com symbols for some of the indices that have Index Mutual Funds available at ProFunds and also have ETF's available. Just enter the index symbol into the chart window that you opened above to see the current trend for that index.
 
The default moving average shown on the chart is the 40WMA (week moving average). You can change the moving averages to whatever you want. The 40WMA is not magical, its just the one I use. For trend following the longer the moving average you use to generate your BUY & SELL signals the less trading you will do.
 
On the chart you will see the moving average shown as a smoother blue line across the chart. In the upper left corner of the chart you will see the actual calculated value for the moving average, shown as MA(40) in blue.
 
If you change the time frame on the chart to say 3 years, you can see when you would have made your trades.

Index Name
 
Nasdaq 100
 
Dow Jones 30 Industrials
 
S&P 500 Large Cap
S&P 500 Large Cap Value
S&P 500 Large Cap Growth
 
S&P 400 Mid Cap
S&P 400 Mid Cap Value
S&P 400 Mid Cap Growth
 
Russell 2000 Small Cap
S&P 600 Small Cap Value
S&P 600 Small Cap Growth
 
DJ US Financials
DJ US Banks
DJ US Real Estate
 
DJ US Healthcare
DJ US Biotechnology
DJ US Pharmaceuticals
 
DJ US Technology
DJ Computer Internet
DJ US Semiconductors
 
DJ US Telecommunications
DJ US Mobile Telecommunications
 
DJ US Oil & Gas (Energy)
 
DJ US Utilities
 
DJ US Basic Materials
 
DJ US Industrials
 
DJ US Consumer Services
 
DJ US Consumer Goods
 
 

Index Symbol
 
$NDX
 
$INDU
 
$SPX
$SVX
$SGX
 
$MID
$MUV
$MGD
 
$RUT
$CVK
$CKG
 
$DJUSFN
$DJUSBK
$DJUSRE
 
$DJUSHC
$DJUSBT
$DJUSPR
 
$DJUSTC
$DJINET
$DJUSSC
 
$DJUSTL
$DJUSWC
 
$DJUSEN
 
$DJUSUT
 
$DJUSBM
 
$DJUSIN
 
$DJUSCY
 
$DJUSNC
 

Trend Following. A simple way to become your own investment advisor.